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Soy Tulum

soy-tulum
2 snapshots · latest May 5, 2026
Pioneer

Soy Tulum is mostly undeveloped jungle — 28 establishments concentrated at the Napolitas lagoon micro-zone in the southwest (NEEK Tulum at 625 reviews anchors the area, with Milum Lake Club, Nopalitos venues, and Sipalitos Laguna Club nearby). The polygon is overwhelmingly empty; development is hyper-local.

51.2
Composition score
28
Establishments
18% first-wave
6.67%
Closure rate
2 permanent
Pioneer
Emerging
Developing
Established
Largely unbuilt or local-serving. Highest upside, longest hold.

This zone's trajectory

The strongest historical comparable in our dataset. When the matched snapshot is older, the comparable's path projects Soy Tulum's likely direction.

Trajectory match · 93.0% similar
Soy Tulum todayRegion 12 10 months ago
Soy Tulum todaycomp 51.2
Region 12 · Jul 2025comp 59.7
If Region 12's trajectory holds, Soy Tulum is on the same path — composition score +8.5 over the next ~10 months.

What this means for you

How Soy Tulum's current state translates into a position for each stakeholder. Decision anchors grounded in the zone's data + Tulum market context — not financial advice.

Developer
Hyper-local thesis. The Napolitas lagoon area is the only meaningful pocket; the rest of the polygon is jungle. Long-hold land bank for those with multi-decade horizons.
Buyer
Lifestyle/eco-buyer territory. Investment thesis is multi-decade, not multi-year. Treat as raw land + eco-residence, not as appreciation play.
Investor
Skip unless you specifically want frontier exposure. Diversification benefits are low; correlation to Tulum macro is high. Maya Train proximity could change this thesis post-2027.
Realtor
Niche clientele only. Foreign eco-buyers, off-grid lifestyle seekers, multi-decade land speculators. Not a transaction-velocity zone.

What's here

10
Hospitality
9
Other
4
Art & Culture
2
Food & Beverage
1
Real Estate & Development
1
Health & Fitness

Churn & closures

What's exiting the zone, and the rate at which capital is rotating out — the inverse signal of new openings.

Churn signal
6.67%
permanent closure rate
2
permanent
0
temporary
What's exiting
Wellness & Retreat
1
Real Estate & Development
1
Recent closures
PERMHealing Waters and Thai Massage with KaylaWellness & Retreat
PERMMza 56 EvaReal Estate & Development

Velocity

+0.09
Composition / 30d
+0.49
Sophistication / 30d
+0.33
Review accel.
+1.07
Net openings / 30d
Methodology & detail↓ expand

Score breakdown

Sophistication30%
74.1
Weighted establishment-tier score. Yoga and galleries score high; banks and gas stations score low.
Diversity25%
56.0
Shannon index across category mix. High = balanced; low = monoculture.
Density20%
5.0
Establishments per km², log-scaled. Captures urban concentration.
Review depth25%
55.8
Avg reviews per establishment, log-scaled. Proxy for market attention. Becomes review velocity once we have multiple snapshots.

Composition fingerprint

Hospitality
35.7%
Other
32.1%
Art & Culture
14.3%
Food & Beverage
7.1%
Wellness & Retreat
3.6%
Health & Fitness
3.6%
Real Estate & Development
3.6%

Cohorts by month of arrival

Cohort
Count
Mean rating
Mean reviews
First-wave
Mean tier
2025-07
15
4.65
91
20%
2.73
2026-05
13
4.82
49
15%
3.23