Centro is shaking out hard — 99 permanent closures this cycle (62 of them F&B), the highest churn rate of any major zone at 4.76%. Selina Tulum Downtown's closure is the marquee signal: the chain-hostel pullout from a 1,983-establishment market means the post-2023 oversupply is unwinding. Sophistication score 67 trails other Established zones, reflecting the local-serving + tourist mix unique to Centro.
The strongest historical comparable in our dataset. When the matched snapshot is older, the comparable's path projects Centro's likely direction.
How Centro's current state translates into a position for each stakeholder. Decision anchors grounded in the zone's data + Tulum market context — not financial advice.
What's exiting the zone, and the rate at which capital is rotating out — the inverse signal of new openings.